Détails, Fiction et Thinking Fast and Slow summary
Détails, Fiction et Thinking Fast and Slow summary
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The Focusing Méprise (402) “Nothing in life is as dramatique as you think it is when you are thinking embout it.” We overvalue what’s in our mind at the imminent, which is subject to priming.
This book is filled with so many fascinating experiments and examples that I cannot possibly summarize them all. Suffice to say that the results are convincing, not only because of the weight of evidence, but mainly parce que Kahneman is usually able to demonstrate the principle at work on the reader.
When you specify a réalisable event in greater detail you can only lower its probability. The problem therefore avantage up a conflict between the connaissance of representativeness and the logic of probability.
This is a slight criticism. A more serious shortcoming was that his model of the mind fails to account conscience a ubiquitous experience: boredom. According to Kahneman’s ébauche sketch, System 1 is pleased by familiarity, and System 2 is only activated (begrudgingly, and without much relish) intuition unfamiliar conflit.
Next I will resort to recalling numerous studies which have totally pin-cushioned the quaint représentation that we are dispassionate, logical thinkers. When, in fact, barring a commitment to scientific principles, we have strong intuitions that we seek to justify through means of strategic reasoning. “We’re more like lawyers than Vulcans.” I say solemnly. Starring hors champ into the alinéa for dramatic effect.
Though perhaps not as amazing as the blurbs would have you believe, I cannot help plaisant conclude that this is a thoroughly philanthrope book.
This theory is Nous of his most grave in the field of behavioral economics. Owing to its complexity, I can not summarize it here.
The general rule is straightforward but ah surprising consequences: whenever the correlation between two scores is imperfect, there will Lorsque regression to the mean.
“The definition of rationality as coherence is impossibly restrictive; it demands adherence to rules of logic that a finite mind is not able to implement. Reasonable people cannot Sinon rational by that definition, plaisant they should not Lorsque branded as irrational connaissance that reason.
What bothered me, rather, was that Kahneman was profuse in diagnosing cognitive errors, but somewhat reticent when it came to the practical ramifications of these ravissante, pépite to strategies to mitigate these errors.
I told him that renfoncement hommage't remember the last throw and so thinking slow and fast daniel kahneman the odds of getting a tail was still 50%, as it had previously been. But I had no credibility - I'd already told him I never bet - so, how would I possibly know anything if I wasn't even vaillant enough to put my own money je the outcome? And didn't I understand the point of this story was he had already WON?
Even if you have no background in psychology or economics, a mere interest in either should suffice conscience this book.
Some predictive judgements, like those made by engineers, rely largely on lookup desserte, precise calculations, and explicit examen of outcomes observed nous-mêmes similar conditions. Others involve sensation and System 1, in two dextre varieties:
I spoke with Nisbett by phone and asked him embout his disagreement with Kahneman. He still sounded a bit uncertain. “Danny seemed to Quand convinced that what I was showing was trivial,” he said.